AFL

The Michael Voss Effect: 7 Bold 2025 Predictions

Explore the Michael Voss effect at Carlton. We unveil 7 bold predictions for the Blues in 2025, from a top-2 finish to ending the premiership drought.

L

Liam O'Connell

A seasoned AFL analyst with over a decade of experience covering club culture and tactics.

7 min read2 views

From the depths of mediocrity to the precipice of glory, the transformation of the Carlton Football Club under Michael Voss has been a seismic event in the AFL landscape. The Michael Voss effect is no longer just a media buzzword; it's a tangible force built on grit, belief, and a ferocious brand of football that has the Navy Blue faithful dreaming again. As we look ahead, the 2024 season feels like the exhilarating prelude to the main event. The foundation is set, the list is primed, and the hunger is palpable. So, what does the 2025 AFL season hold for Vossy's Blues? We're diving deep with seven bold predictions that chart a course straight to September glory.

What is The Michael Voss Effect?

Before we gaze into the crystal ball, it's crucial to define the phenomenon. The Michael Voss effect is a multifaceted cultural and tactical overhaul. Pre-Voss, Carlton was often criticized for being skillful but brittle. Voss, a three-time premiership captain and Brownlow medalist, instilled the very DNA he was famous for as a player: an uncompromising attack on the contest, an unwavering belief in the system, and a mental resilience that turns narrow losses into gutsy wins. Statistically, it's seen in their dominance in contested possessions and clearances. Emotionally, it's seen in the way they hunt as a pack and celebrate the one-percenters. This effect is the engine driving our 2025 predictions.

7 Bold Predictions for Carlton's 2025 Season

Get ready, Blues fans. The coming year promises to be a historic one. Here's how we see it unfolding.

Prediction 1: A Top-2 Ladder Finish

Forget just making the top four; we're predicting a top-two finish for Carlton in 2025. Why? Continuity and maturity. The core group—Cripps, Walsh, Weitering, Curnow, McKay—will be at the absolute peak of their powers. The game plan, once a novelty, is now deeply embedded. A top-two finish secures at least two home finals at the MCG, a fortress where the roar of 90,000 Carlton supporters becomes an indomitable 19th man. The team has learned how to win ugly, how to win pretty, and most importantly, how to win consistently. In 2025, they'll turn their 15-win season into an 18-win season, locking in the crucial double chance from a position of power.

Prediction 2: Charlie Curnow Wins a Third Coleman Medal

With two Coleman Medals already in his keeping, predicting a third might not seem bold, but it's the way he'll win it that matters. Under Voss, Carlton's forward entries have become a potent mix of surgical precision and organized chaos. In 2025, this system will hit its zenith. The midfield's dominance will ensure silver service, while the evolution of players like Harry McKay and the small forward brigade will prevent opposition from triple-teaming him. Charlie won't just be a contested marking beast; he'll be the beneficiary of a perfectly oiled machine, kicking 75+ goals to cement his legacy as one of the modern era's greatest forwards.

Prediction 3: A New Midfield Star Emerges

Patrick Cripps is the bull. Sam Walsh is the tireless engine. But every elite midfield needs a third dimension—a touch of class and explosive power. Our bold call is that Elijah Hollands will become that player in 2025. After a full season and another pre-season to integrate into the Blues' system, Hollands' clean hands, elite kicking, and goal-sense will see him graduate from a talented role-player to a genuine A-grade midfielder. His ability to hit the scoreboard and deliver the final, damaging kick inside 50 will add a layer of polish that makes Carlton's on-ball division virtually unstoppable, lessening the immense burden on Cripps and Walsh.

The Voss Effect: Carlton's Statistical Leap
MetricPre-Voss (2021 Season)Under-Voss (2024 Est.)Impact
Contested Possessions/Game135.4 (Rank 12th)148.1 (Rank 1st)Dominance at the source
Clearances/Game35.8 (Rank 10th)41.5 (Rank 2nd)First use and control
Tackles Inside 50/Game9.1 (Rank 16th)13.2 (Rank 3rd)Elite forward pressure
Points from Stoppages28.9 (Rank 14th)37.5 (Rank 1st)Scoring power

Prediction 4: The 'Carlton Chaos Ball' Evolves

The term "chaos ball" is often used to describe Carlton's high-octane, surge-at-all-costs style. In 2025, this won't disappear, but it will evolve. Voss and his coaching staff will add layers of control and precision to the chaos. Expect to see more controlled ball movement when required, smarter defensive transitions, and a greater ability to absorb pressure and dictate tempo. It will become 'Controlled Chaos'—retaining the aggressive, forward-half game that terrifies opponents while plugging the defensive holes that occasionally left them vulnerable. This tactical maturation is the final step from being a good team to a great one.

Prediction 5: Weitering Becomes the Undisputed No. 1 Defender

Jacob Weitering has long been in the conversation for the AFL's best defender. In 2025, he ends the debate. With a more mature and reliable defensive unit around him (think Mitch McGovern, Caleb Marchbank, and an improving Lachie Cowan), Weitering will be freed up to not only lock down the opposition's best forward but also to maximize his elite intercept marking and rebound skills. He will become the defensive general in the same vein as legends like Matthew Scarlett or Alex Rance, controlling the entire back 50. Expect a second All-Australian blazer and a Best & Fairest trophy to cap off a career-best year.

Prediction 6: A Shock Trade Target is Landed

Carlton's list is strong, but great clubs are never satisfied. To put the final piece in the premiership puzzle, we predict the Blues will make a surprise move for a player who adds a specific, elite skill. Forget the obvious; think outside the box. Our bold call: Carlton makes a play for a player like Port Adelaide's Zak Butters. While unlikely to be gettable, targeting a player of his ilk—a hard-running, creative half-forward/midfielder with surgical foot skills—would be the ultimate luxury. Landing a player of this type would give them the final, unpredictable weapon needed to slice through the league's best defensive structures in a Grand Final.

Prediction 7: The Premiership Drought Ends

This is the one. This is the ultimate culmination of the Michael Voss effect. All the previous predictions—a top-two finish, individual brilliance, tactical evolution, and a hardened culture—lead to this singular moment. After decades of heartache, false dawns, and painful rebuilds, Carlton will stand on the MCG dais on the last Saturday in September. They will have overcome the pressure, navigated the challenges of the finals, and proven that their brand of football is the best in the land. Patrick Cripps will lift the cup, and the roar from the Carlton faithful will echo through the ages. In 2025, the drought is over.

The Risks and Roadblocks

Of course, no journey to a premiership is without its perils. The biggest threats to these predictions are threefold. First, injuries to key personnel like Cripps, Walsh, or Weitering could derail their campaign. Second, the weight of expectation can be a heavy burden. After a strong 2024, the pressure will be immense from Round 1. Third, the opposition. The AFL is an even competition, and teams like Sydney, Collingwood, and Brisbane will be hunting the Blues, analyzing their every move and plotting their downfall. Overcoming these hurdles will be the final test of the Voss effect.

Conclusion: The Final Word

Bold predictions are part of the fun of footy, but these seven points are rooted in the undeniable evidence of Carlton's trajectory under Michael Voss. He has transformed the club from a hopeful contender into a ruthless powerhouse. The pieces are all in place for a historic 2025 season. The talent is there, the game plan is proven, and the belief is unshakable. For Carlton fans, it's time to stop hoping and start believing. The Voss effect is real, and it's leading the Blues directly to the ultimate prize.